Year-end checklist of predictions for 2016
As the year 2016 comes to a close, I went back to review five of the international predictions and trends I made in January to check for accuracy.
Here is what I predicted:
Regional, rather that international hubs, will grow in importance. Check
Asian countries including Hong Kong, Malaysia, and China have all reported increases in international student enrollments from the region.
Articulation agreements will replace branch campus development. Check
A recent report published by The Observatory on Borderless Higher Education reveals a waning of interest, especially in the United States, of opening up branch campuses overseas.
MOOCs and other digital-based educational delivery models will continue to grow in importance, enrolling a new and different cohort of international students. Check.
Coursera, FutureLearn and edX have all reported increasing the number of students taking MOOC courses. In September of this year, MIT piloted an online MicroMasters credential and has partnered with Pearson which will allow MicroMasters students to study at local centers in 70 countries worldwide.
Technology will change the ways international students are recruited. Check.
A great deal has been written this year about Big Data and its impact on several aspects of higher education, from predicting which students will enroll, which students are likely to persist and graduate, and which students will become active alumni after graduation. Big Data can help international strategic planners and recruiters to construct analytical databases to provide college administrators with speedy, actionable. information in order to make smart decisions and allocate both staff time and resources to increase enrollments from existing markets and build new ones.
Always have a Plan B. Check
How many international strategic plans had alternative recruitment strategies in place after the Brexit vote or the drop in oil prices which impacted enrollment of students from Saudi Arabia?
No one can predict with absolute accuracy what the future will bring. But there are trends that can reveal what is likely to happen in the future. More to come in 2017.